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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • There was a vociferous but somehow under the radar outcry about this back in 2018 and an incredibly simple solution was widely suggested: demonetize the video.

    However, the highly viewed video is a significant source of royalty revenue for Mr. Astley, which, as he well argued at the time in a series of tweets, is only just compensation for the way his image has been turned into a joke literally hundreds of millions of times now.

    Mr. Astley implored YT not to bow to pressure and demonetize the video. YT famously replied “don’t worry, we’re never going to give you up, never going to let you down.”





  • And while we’re at it, here are the NATO members or aspirants:

    Here’s a breakdown of the former USSR states that are now NATO members or are actively considering NATO membership:

    Former USSR States That Are NATO Members

    These countries joined NATO after gaining independence from the Soviet Union:

    1. Estonia

    • Joined NATO: 2004

    • Strong NATO ally with significant defense investments.

    2. Latvia

    • Joined NATO: 2004

    • Works closely with NATO on Baltic security.

    3. Lithuania

    • Joined NATO: 2004

    • Actively contributes to NATO missions.

    4. Poland

    • Although not a USSR republic, it was part of the Warsaw Pact (Soviet-aligned).

    • Joined NATO: 1999.

    Former USSR States Considering or Applying for NATO Membership

    1. Ukraine

    • Officially applied for NATO membership in 2022.

    • Has intensified cooperation with NATO since Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014.

    2. Georgia

    • Has declared aspirations to join NATO since 2008.

    • NATO has an ongoing partnership with Georgia, but membership has been delayed due to territorial disputes (Abkhazia and South Ossetia).

    3. Moldova (Debate, but no formal application)

    • While officially neutral, there are internal discussions about strengthening ties with NATO due to regional threats.

    • No formal application has been made yet.

    Key Context

    • NATO membership for Ukraine and Georgia remains controversial, partly due to ongoing conflicts with Russia and territorial disputes.

    • Other former USSR states, like Belarus and the Central Asian countries, are either neutral or aligned with Russia.

    Let me know if you’d like a deeper dive into any of these countries!


  • That seemed like a good task for AI so here’s what got back:

    The former USSR (Union of Soviet Socialist Republics) included 15 republics, many of which became independent countries after its dissolution in 1991. Here’s a list of former Soviet states that are not NATO members or actively applying for NATO membership (as of now):

    1. Belarus

    • A close ally of Russia, with strong political, military, and economic ties to Moscow.

    • No indications of pursuing NATO membership.

    2. Moldova

    • Officially neutral according to its constitution.

    • While there is some public debate about closer ties with NATO, it has not formally applied for membership.

    3. Armenia

    • Member of the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO).

    • While cooperating with NATO on some levels, it is not pursuing membership.

    4. Azerbaijan

    • Maintains a policy of balanced diplomacy between Russia, NATO, and other powers.

    • No NATO membership aspirations have been officially declared.

    5. Uzbekistan

    • Pursues a policy of neutrality.

    • Not a member or applicant of NATO.

    6. Turkmenistan

    • Officially neutral (recognized by the UN in 1995).

    • No NATO ties or aspirations.

    7. Tajikistan

    • Member of the CSTO, closely aligned with Russia.

    • Not pursuing NATO membership.

    8. Kyrgyzstan

    • Also a member of the CSTO.

    • No active NATO membership aspirations.

    These countries generally maintain neutrality or align more closely with Russia and its sphere of influence, either through treaties like the CSTO or their foreign policies. Let me know if you’d like more specific information about any of them!








  • Basically. Trump’s election signals the end of robust support for Ukraine (if it can even be called that). So Putin is absolutely charged right now and 1/3 could be the best deal Ukraine is going to get. It’s a travesty, but there it is.

    I just hope that Putin takes the cue and ends his ridiculous imperialistic drive. His early bloodless annexation of Crimea clearly encouraged broader action, but this war has been an expensive flop for him and I can’t really see him coming back from it to try for more. Unless there is some other neighbor who’s outlying 1/3 he would like to pay a very dear price for.

    More likely his prize is concessions on NATO expansion.







  • Your post points to the answer.

    If people’s absolute essentials could be guaranteed: housing, healthcare, education, and food, then all the “advantages” would only affect the bonus region above that where wealth and privilege reside.

    The problem is that it’s very possible for those life essentials to be threatened because other people have wealth and privilege.

    If there was just a floor on this damn thing we could stop talking about all this. But American culture dictates that that floor must be squarely below the point of dignity and deprivation, so that people don’t get comfortable. Because we can’t have that. Ever. Because it’s a moral hazard to the soul. Unless you’re born rich. Then you can have comfort for free, and there’s magically no moral hazard to your soul somehow.


  • I bought my first home half with money I’d saved by working, and half with some money I inherited from my grandparents. I was also able to buy with only 10% down because it was 2005, leading up to the sub-prime mortgage scandal, and they were giving out mortgages very easily.

    Fast forward some years.

    I reluctantly rented my place out for a couple of years because I needed to move myself and the mortgage was underwater following the 2006 crash caused by all those sub prime mortgages. I rented to a nice couple and although I gave them a very attractive rent and treated them as well as possible, there was no question that their rent money got me through that housing crisis and eventually allowed me to sell at a significant profit instead of losing my ass.

    When I sold, I offered my renters a deal to move out. They took it, and said that they were buying their own place as they had inherited a small amount recently.

    For me this was a perfect example of how, just because my grandparents died a few years before theirs, I was their landlord and not the other way around. I got protection for my investment on their dollar. And once they too got the benefit of inheritance, they were able to graduate to the next level themselves.

    Years later I’ve remained a homeowner and am sitting on multiple millions in equity from all the appreciation during that time. My remaining mortgage payments are about 1/3 of what it would cost to rent the same home. My wife’s younger siblings, by contrast, can’t even afford to buy under any circumstances because the market is so high. And of course lending standards are much more strict now.

    For me this is a perfect example of generational advantage. Here I am sitting pretty just because I’m 10 years older than them, while they have to move out of state just to get a start.

    Anyone who thinks this is a fair and equal opportunity economy is a damn fool. As long as you are competing against people who have advantages you don’t, it doesn’t matter whether your theoretical opportunities are equal. You’re going to lose and wind up in servitude of those who won.