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Cake day: 2023年7月1日

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  • It’s no different than playing by the rules (or lack thereof) of the game like Bannon or Stone play in their strategizing with Trump: Perception is Reality. Ends Justify Means.

    Maybe not along this issue, but yes Democrats must realize just how poorly educated and gullible the electorate is and start catering their message accordingly. In spite of moral reservations, fear & anger are powerful motivators.

    Yes, Dems couldn’t pull it off because the coalition consists of a large number of ethically-bound and higher educated individuals who aren’t willing to play dirty as a means to an end… Even when that end is far superior than what the opposition seeks.




  • What’s so scary about that? While the reason seems obvious, I ask because if you know what sort of sophisticated voter identification models the parties have right now, they can easily ascertain your voting history with 90%+ accuracy and predict fairly well who you’ll vote for in the future anyway.

    I was just thinking of this recently but if Trump utilized his immunity to the fullest extent and we descend into Kristallnacht territory, these voter models would be how they began purging, “the enemy from within.”

    So given we already are at that point, then maybe the benefits of such a ledger could outweigh the cons.




  • Not them. For me, Buttigieg was my 3rd preference in the 2020 primaries. I like him. I think he has a grasp of what must be done. Fun fact, he wrote an essay that won a contest with the JFK library back in 2000, essentially praising Bernie Sanders. I think he has his own method by which he achieves a similar outcome, possibly.

    That said he isn’t who comes to mind to win in 2028 because while I think he’s one of the best debaters, I’m not sure if he’s the most charismatic. In this popularity contest, charisma matters. He kind of suffers from Al Gore syndrome in that way.

    I won’t be one of those gatekeepers claiming a gay guy can’t win, though. That just amplifies the bigotry more, and we shouldn’t get in our own way.


  • Funny that this is just more divisive rhetoric enabling right-wing talking points . It’s almost like it’s not a matter of minorities, but of socioeconomic class and education disparities leading to people across the board voting against their own interests because they don’t know how to parse truth from bullshit.

    The sooner black WORKERS, latino WORKERS, white WORKERS all rally under the same banner that points the finger at the rich who controls the vast majority of resources in not just this country but globally, we’ll just keep fighting over increasingly fewer breadcrumbs.




  • I appreciate the insight. So if I’m understanding you correctly, the AfD while they’re picking up fringe support, hasn’t really been able to broaden its coalition and lacks the capacity to hijack the government, even from a position of plurality.

    I’m curious how the overall public perception of immigration will be for Germans going forward, considering the assimilation of the Syrian refugees Merkel took in, Germany’s aging workforce, as well as the existing need to fill jobs like medicine. Are there polling data trends available on this?



  • Sounds like a solid plan — best of luck to your family.

    The plan we’re building sees us moving out of AZ and to a blue state near the Canadian border. From there I brush the dust off my degree while my wife ensures she has what she needs to continue working as a nurse in Canada. UK is in consideration, too. Germany after that given their pathways to welcoming immigrants — especially in medical or in university. Alas, those latter options are so much harder to pull off, especially when we’re also trying to be near uncles and grandparents for the kid’s sake especially. Here’s to hoping for asylum if it really does get that bad.