Hallenbeck Lemmy

This is my Lemmy account.

Also on Mastodon: @[email protected]

And Bluesky: @hallenbeck.thelastboyscout.uk

  • 38 Posts
  • 58 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 13th, 2023

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  • We Spurs fans had three defensive coaches in succession (Mourinho, Nuno, Conte) and those seasons were pure misery and without any progress, despite at least two of those coaches being proven “serial winners”. There’s a reason why top clubs in the Premier League aren’t defensive – fans and the media hate it and it doesn’t suit the league. The clubs at the bottom of the league tend to adopt more defensive low-blocks and mid-blocks out of necessity. Some clubs like Brentford and Wolves have had some success and are dubbed “giant killers” for adopting a low-block and counter-attacking style. But they’re not top-4 contenders.

    West Ham were steered to victory in the Europa Conference league by David Moyes and he is a notably defensive, pragmatic coach.

    Also, in the 22/23 Champions league, 3 of the 4 Premier League clubs in the competition have lower GA/90 (goals against per 90) stats than Atletico:

    • Atletico: 1.50
    • Liverpool: 1.50
    • Chelsea: 0.90
    • Tottenham: 0.88
    • Manchester City: 0.38

    The eventual winners of the Champions League last year was of course City, with a total number of goals conceded of just 5 in a total of 1170 minutes of play. Atletico conceded 9 in only 540 minutes.

    I don’t think Simeone knows what he’s talking about.





  • Yeah, experience from moderating over at [email protected] is that you’ve just got to keep posting and posting and posting and gradually, very slowly, the numbers creep up. Same on Mastodon on the #MastodonFC and #COYS tags (can’t speak for other clubs). You’ve got to give people a reason to come back.

    Personally, I’m not sure the individual posts containing a single goal from a specific match is helping much. Makes the community seem very noisy. IMO would be better to have one thread per match with goals posted as comments. But I’m not mod here and others may feel differently, so ¯_(ツ)_/¯

    FWIW, I don’t see the community as dead. I post a few things here and there’s often a good number of votes and some good discussion. Seems far from dead to me.























  • I’ve redone it with a little more care (see above) and agree the summing of xG over performance wasn’t a good idea. It was a vestigial artefact where I’d been mucking about and I wish I’d removed it, but it was late and I couldn’t be bothered as it didn’t really affect the point I was making and it’s not intended to be rigorous maths.

    The results in the updated version aren’t significantly different apart from Messi. The reason Messi’s over performance has shifted so much in the update is because I removed the three PSG and MLS years, which I think are an unfair reflection on him.

    I don’t agree averaging the xG overperformance “grossly” inflated the numbers (unless you consider 6% gross). I do agree including the PSG and MLS years grossly short changes Messi, but I noted something to that effect in the original.

    You don’t need to be quite so hostile to people sharing their stuff here btw - save that for Twitter or Reddit if hostilities float your boat. I take it you’re not and have never been an educator? But no harm done - thx for the feedback - it was useful and improved the analysis :)