I guess the important thing to understand about spurious output (what gets called “hallucinations”) is that it’s neither a bug nor a feature, it’s just the nature of the program. Deep learning language models are just probabilities of co-occurrence of words; there’s no meaning in that. Deep learning can’t be said to generate “true” or “false” information, or rather, it can’t be meaningfully said to generate information at all.
So then people say that deep learning is helping out in this or that industry. I can tell you that it’s pretty useless in my industry, though people are trying. Knowing a lot about the algorithms behind deep learning, and also knowing how fucking gullible people are, I assume that—if someone tells me deep learning has ended up being useful in some field, they’re either buying the hype or witnessing an odd series of coincidences.
The thing is, this is not “intelligence” and so “AI” and “hallucinations” are just humanizing something that is not. These are really just huge table lookups with some sort of fancy interpolation/extrapolation logic. So lot of the copyright people are correct. You should not be able to take their works and then just regurgitate them out. I have problem with copyright and patents myself too because frankly lot of it is not very creative either. So one can look at it from both ends. If “AI” can get close to what we do and not really be intelligent at all, what does that say about us. So we may learn a lot about us in the process.
Deep learning can be and is useful today, it’s just that the useful applications are things like classifiers and computer vision models. Lots of commercial products are already using those kinds of models to great effect, some for years already.
Absolutely. Computers are great at picking out patterns across enormous troves of data. Those trends and patterns can absolutely help guide policymaking decisions the same way it can help guide medical diagnostic decisions.
The article was skeptical about this. It said that the problem with expecting it to revolutionize policy decisions isn’t that we don’t know what to do, it’s that we don’t want to do it. For example, we already know how to solve climate change and the smartest people on the planet in those fields have already told us what needed to be done.
Thats been the case time and again, how many disruptions from the tech bros came to industries that had been stagnant or moving at a snails pace when it came to adopting new technology (esp to lock into more expensive legacy systems).
Most of those industries disrupted could have been secured by the players in those markets instead the allowed a disruptor to appear unchallenged.
Remember the market is not as rational as some might think, you start filling gaps and people often won’t ask about the fallout and many of these services did have people warning against these things.
We are for the most part, in a nation that lets you do whatever you want until the effects have hit people, this is even more a thing if you are a business. I don’t know an easy answer, in some of these cases, old gaurd needed a smack, in others a more controlled entry may have been better. As of now “controlled” is jut about the size of ones cash pile.
I think it can be useful. I have used it myself, even before chatgpt was there and it was just gpt 3. For example I take a picture, OCR it and then look for mistakes with gpt because it’s better than a spell check. I’ve used it to write code in a language I wasn’t familiar with and having seen the names of the commands needed I could fix it to do what I wanted. I’ve also used it for some inspiration, which I could also have done with an online search. The concept just blew up and people were overstating what it can do, but I think now a lot of people know the limitations.
I mean AI is already generating lots of bullshit ‘reports’. Like you know, stuff that reports ‘news’ with zero skill. It’s glorified copy-pasting really.
If you think about how much language is rote, in like law and etc. Makes a lot of sense to use AI to auto generate it. But it’s not intelligence. It’s just creating a linguistic assembly line. And just like in a factory, it will require human review to for quality control.
The thing is - and what’s also annoying me about the article - AI experts and computational linguistics know this. It’s just the laypeople that end up using (or promoting) these tools now that they’re public that don’t know what they’re talking about and project intelligence onto AI that isn’t there. The real hallucination problem isn’t with deep learning, it’s with the users.
Spot on. I work on AI and just tell people “Don’t worry, we’re not anywhere close to terminator or skynet or anything remotely close to that yet” I don’t know anyone that I work with that wouldn’t roll their eyes at most of these “articles” you’re talking about. It’s frustrating reading some of that crap lol.
This is the curation effect: generate lots of chaff, and have humans search for the wheat. Thing is, someone’s already gotten in deep shit for trying to use deep learning for legal filings.
I guess the important thing to understand about spurious output (what gets called “hallucinations”) is that it’s neither a bug nor a feature, it’s just the nature of the program. Deep learning language models are just probabilities of co-occurrence of words; there’s no meaning in that. Deep learning can’t be said to generate “true” or “false” information, or rather, it can’t be meaningfully said to generate information at all.
So then people say that deep learning is helping out in this or that industry. I can tell you that it’s pretty useless in my industry, though people are trying. Knowing a lot about the algorithms behind deep learning, and also knowing how fucking gullible people are, I assume that—if someone tells me deep learning has ended up being useful in some field, they’re either buying the hype or witnessing an odd series of coincidences.
The thing is, this is not “intelligence” and so “AI” and “hallucinations” are just humanizing something that is not. These are really just huge table lookups with some sort of fancy interpolation/extrapolation logic. So lot of the copyright people are correct. You should not be able to take their works and then just regurgitate them out. I have problem with copyright and patents myself too because frankly lot of it is not very creative either. So one can look at it from both ends. If “AI” can get close to what we do and not really be intelligent at all, what does that say about us. So we may learn a lot about us in the process.
I would agree that either you have to start saying the ai is smart or we are not.
Deep learning can be and is useful today, it’s just that the useful applications are things like classifiers and computer vision models. Lots of commercial products are already using those kinds of models to great effect, some for years already.
What do you think of the AI firms who are saying it could help with making policy decisions, climate change, and lead people to easier lives?
Absolutely. Computers are great at picking out patterns across enormous troves of data. Those trends and patterns can absolutely help guide policymaking decisions the same way it can help guide medical diagnostic decisions.
The article was skeptical about this. It said that the problem with expecting it to revolutionize policy decisions isn’t that we don’t know what to do, it’s that we don’t want to do it. For example, we already know how to solve climate change and the smartest people on the planet in those fields have already told us what needed to be done.
Thats been the case time and again, how many disruptions from the tech bros came to industries that had been stagnant or moving at a snails pace when it came to adopting new technology (esp to lock into more expensive legacy systems).
Most of those industries disrupted could have been secured by the players in those markets instead the allowed a disruptor to appear unchallenged.
Remember the market is not as rational as some might think, you start filling gaps and people often won’t ask about the fallout and many of these services did have people warning against these things.
We are for the most part, in a nation that lets you do whatever you want until the effects have hit people, this is even more a thing if you are a business. I don’t know an easy answer, in some of these cases, old gaurd needed a smack, in others a more controlled entry may have been better. As of now “controlled” is jut about the size of ones cash pile.
Cue the ethical corporations discussion…
I think it can be useful. I have used it myself, even before chatgpt was there and it was just gpt 3. For example I take a picture, OCR it and then look for mistakes with gpt because it’s better than a spell check. I’ve used it to write code in a language I wasn’t familiar with and having seen the names of the commands needed I could fix it to do what I wanted. I’ve also used it for some inspiration, which I could also have done with an online search. The concept just blew up and people were overstating what it can do, but I think now a lot of people know the limitations.
I mean AI is already generating lots of bullshit ‘reports’. Like you know, stuff that reports ‘news’ with zero skill. It’s glorified copy-pasting really.
If you think about how much language is rote, in like law and etc. Makes a lot of sense to use AI to auto generate it. But it’s not intelligence. It’s just creating a linguistic assembly line. And just like in a factory, it will require human review to for quality control.
The thing is - and what’s also annoying me about the article - AI experts and computational linguistics know this. It’s just the laypeople that end up using (or promoting) these tools now that they’re public that don’t know what they’re talking about and project intelligence onto AI that isn’t there. The real hallucination problem isn’t with deep learning, it’s with the users.
Spot on. I work on AI and just tell people “Don’t worry, we’re not anywhere close to terminator or skynet or anything remotely close to that yet” I don’t know anyone that I work with that wouldn’t roll their eyes at most of these “articles” you’re talking about. It’s frustrating reading some of that crap lol.
The article really isn’t about the hallucinations though. It’s about the impact of AI. its in the second half of the article.
I read the article yes
This is the curation effect: generate lots of chaff, and have humans search for the wheat. Thing is, someone’s already gotten in deep shit for trying to use deep learning for legal filings.