The Liberal Party has seen a remarkable turnaround in its fortunes in recent weeks. Following Chrystia Freeland’s resignation a month ago, the Conservative lead had reached an all-time high of 25 points. In our latest polling, however, that advantage has narrowed to just 11 points, with the Conservatives leading 39 points to 28. At 17 points, the NDP is in third place, and their declared intention to bring down the government does not appear to have produced any benefits.
The Libs and NDP have a lot of ground to make up with the male demographic (I’m not talking about conservative chuds or the Dick Cheney-courting “swing voter” strategy employed by the US democratic campaign).
I think that awareness of working class issues is the first bar to clear. The next is to stop letting Conservatives dictate the framing of every issue (which right now is “every Liberal is Trudeau”). Third is the candidate will really have to show how the Liberal party will change for the better, instead of touting Trudeau’s record (he got stuff done but with Biden this was another of Harris’ campaign mistakes).