Alright, we’re in the endgame now y’all. Expect to see some serious movement this week…
My ballot. Computer poll. I realized this week that in my haste to calculate last week’s results, I forgot to make adjustments to all the teams that were on bye and thus over-ranked each of them. D’oh. I corrected it for this week, so that’s why the change values will not line up with what I posted last week.
I am amused that despite Alabama’s blowout win, they only move up one place (the computer definitely predicted that result, too, as it is really a power-rating kind of formula). Similar situation with Ole Miss and Georgia (it did not think very highly of the dogs). Virginia Tech baffles me, holding the same position for 3 weeks like a stuck pixel.
Full ranking:
Rank Change Team Record Points 1 +4 Ole Miss 8-2 657 2 +1 Ohio State 8-1 650 3 +1 Notre Dame 8-1 645 4 -2 Oregon 10-0 641 5 -4 Indiana 10-0 635 6 -1 Texas 8-1 624 7 +1 Alabama 7-2 616 8 -1 Miami (FL) 9-1 571 9 +4 Tennessee 8-1 551 10 +6 Penn State 8-1 548 11 +6 South Carolina 6-3 545 12 +3 Clemson 7-2 539 13 -3 Georgia 7-2 537 14 - Virginia Tech 5-5 521 15 +9 Tulane 8-2 513 16 +2 Iowa 6-4 512 17 -8 SMU 8-1 511 18 -7 USC 4-5 499 T19 +4 BYU 9-0 498 T19 +2 Minnesota 6-4 498 21 +15 Georgia Tech 6-4 490 22 -10 Texas A&M 7-2 488 23 +2 Arizona State 7-2 484 24 -4 Vanderbilt 6-4 483 25 +1 Iowa State 7-2 474 26 +1 Army 9-0 471 27 +11 TCU 6-4 470 28 +9 Colorado 7-2 466 29 +3 UCF 4-6 456 30 -11 Louisville 6-3 455 31 +15 JMU 7-2 452 32 +15 Duke 7-3 450 33 -11 Kansas State 7-2 447 34 +5 Michigan 5-5 443 35 +8 Texas Tech 6-4 440 36 +5 Boise State 8-1 435 T37 +5 Pittsburgh 7-2 434 T37 +18 California 5-4 434 39 -5 Washington 5-5 430 40 +8 UNLV 7-2 428 41 +11 Connecticut 7-3 427 42 -7 LSU 6-3 425 T43 +6 Memphis 8-2 424 T43 +10 Jacksonville State 6-3 424 45 +4 Cincinnati 5-4 422 46 -18 North Carolina 5-4 417 T47 -18 Arkansas 5-4 412 T47 +19 Kansas 3-6 412 49 +24 Louisiana 8-1 409 50 -20 Wisconsin 5-4 408 51 -20 Baylor 5-4 407 52 -20 Kentucky 3-6 406 53 +6 Oklahoma 5-5 404 T54 +14 Washington State 8-1 402 T54 +14 Missouri 7-2 402 T54 +12 Boston College 5-4 402 T54 +6 Utah 4-5 402 58 +14 Navy 7-2 401 59 +16 Texas State 5-4 399 60 +3 Syracuse 6-3 396 61 +3 Miami (OH) 5-4 395 62 +13 Northern Illinois 5-4 394 63 -23 Illinois 6-3 392 64 -2 NC State 5-5 391 T65 -22 Nebraska 5-4 388 T65 -22 Northwestern 4-5 388 67 +12 West Virginia 5-4 383 68 +9 Western Kentucky 7-2 381 69 -18 Sam Houston 7-2 378 70 +3 Fresno State 5-5 377 71 -10 Florida 4-5 374 T72 -18 Auburn 3-6 373 T72 -2 Oklahoma State 3-7 373 74 +21 Ohio 6-3 368 T75 +11 Bowling Green 5-4 367 T75 -19 Old Dominion 4-5 367 T75 +12 UCLA 4-5 367 T78 +12 Virginia 5-4 365 T78 -21 Houston 4-5 365 80 +9 Rutgers 5-4 364 81 +17 Marshall 6-3 361 82 -24 Toledo 6-3 360 83 -2 Nevada 3-8 358 84 - Maryland 4-5 349 85 -21 South Alabama 4-5 347 86 +9 San Jose State 6-3 344 T87 -16 Georgia Southern 6-3 343 T87 +5 New Mexico 4-6 343 89 +17 ECU 5-4 336 90 +4 Mississippi State 2-8 328 91 +4 Louisiana Tech 3-6 326 92 +1 UNT 5-4 325 93 -15 FIU 3-6 323 94 -15 Eastern Michigan 5-4 322 95 +15 Liberty 6-2 319 T96 +11 Coastal Carolina 5-4 318 T96 -8 Florida State 1-9 318 T98 -16 Michigan State 4-5 317 T98 -16 Arizona 3-6 317 T100 -16 Colorado State 6-3 316 T100 +1 Rice 3-7 316 T102 -3 Western Michigan 5-4 313 T102 +1 Wake Forest 4-5 313 104 - Hawaii 4-6 309 105 -1 Oregon State 4-5 301 106 -15 Buffalo 5-4 296 107 +6 UTEP 2-8 291 108 +1 UL Monroe 5-4 285 109 -9 UTSA 4-5 282 110 +1 USF 4-5 281 111 -9 Troy 2-7 278 112 +5 San Diego State 3-6 276 T113 -5 Wyoming 2-7 263 T113 - Georgia State 2-7 263 115 -2 Arkansas State 5-4 260 116 +3 Appalachian State 4-5 257 117 +4 Central Michigan 3-6 253 118 -6 Stanford 2-7 252 119 +8 Air Force 2-7 249 120 +4 Ball State 3-6 248 T121 -3 FAU 2-7 247 T121 +2 UAB 2-7 247 123 -7 Charlotte 3-6 243 124 -2 Middle Tennessee 3-7 239 125 -5 Temple 2-7 228 126 +4 Kennesaw State 1-8 227 127 +2 Utah State 2-7 221 128 -3 Tulsa 3-6 212 129 -3 Akron 2-7 210 130 +3 New Mexico State 2-7 204 T131 -3 Massachusetts 2-7 198 T131 - Purdue 1-8 198 133 -1 Southern Mississippi 1-8 189 134 - Kent State 0-9 144 My poll really doesn’t like Georgia either! It has been begrudgingly moving them up with each win. But they drop 10 spots after losing to the #11 team (according to my poll), behind five 2-loss teams and one 3-loss team.
My poll must not be impressed by their margin of victory (vs expectations) or something, even though that is a pretty small portion of the equation. Most of the rating comes from a modified ELO that only cares about win/loss.
Unsurprisingly, there was a lot of movement in my poll. Miami, Georgia, LSU, 💩sburgh, and Minnesota drop 10 or more places, with the last three dropping out of the Top 25. But this biggest loser is… Cincinnati (-27) after losing to WVU (more on that later).
The biggest winners will be no surprise: GT, UCLA, WVU, Rutgers, Kansas, and Duke all jumping 20+ spots. My home team of WVU makes an surprisingly large leap of 23 spots to 41st place with their win over then #38 Cincinnati (5-3). I’m torn about this win, because I don’t want to give our AD any excuses to keep Neal Brown any longer than we need to…
- Oregon
- Indiana
- Notre Dame
- Ohio State
- Texas
- SMU
- Ole Miss
- Penn State
- Alabama
- BYU
- Tennessee
- Colorado
- Miami
- South Carolina
- Clemson
- Tulane
- Army
- Georgia
- Boise State
- Texas A&M
- Louisville
- Louisiana
- Washington State
- Kansas State
- Arizona State
Full Rankings
Rank Team Record Rating SOS 1 Oregon (10-0) 1414 981 2 Indiana (10-0) 1402 925 3 Notre Dame (8-1) 1384 1001 4 Ohio State (8-1) 1377 1034 5 Texas (8-1) 1354 1013 6 SMU (8-1) 1342 953 7 Ole Miss (8-2) 1339 983 8 Penn State (8-1) 1314 1039 9 Alabama (7-2) 1305 1144 10 BYU (9-0) 1289 926 11 Tennessee (8-1) 1289 901 12 Colorado (7-2) 1280 967 13 Miami (9-1) 1266 958 14 South Carolina (6-3) 1261 1088 15 Clemson (7-2) 1252 997 16 Tulane (8-2) 1251 890 17 Army (9-0) 1249 778 18 Georgia (7-2) 1237 1046 19 Boise State (8-1) 1236 943 20 Texas A&M (7-2) 1231 1036 21 Louisville (6-3) 1223 1112 22 Louisiana (8-1) 1205 850 23 Washington State (8-1) 1197 902 24 Kansas State (7-2) 1182 1001 25 Arizona State (7-2) 1171 941 26 LSU (6-3) 1165 1074 27 Missouri (7-2) 1156 961 28 Pittsburgh (7-2) 1142 973 29 Western Kentucky (7-2) 1134 848 30 Georgia Tech (6-4) 1131 1016 31 Duke (7-3) 1125 973 32 Minnesota (6-4) 1124 961 33 UNLV (7-2) 1123 907 34 Baylor (5-4) 1120 969 35 UCLA (4-5) 1116 1162 36 James Madison (7-2) 1112 833 37 Vanderbilt (6-4) 1111 1000 38 Navy (7-2) 1110 869 39 Georgia Southern (6-3) 1107 957 40 Iowa (6-4) 1106 993 41 West Virginia (5-4) 1102 979 42 Jacksonville State (6-3) 1102 833 43 Syracuse (6-3) 1100 971 44 Memphis (8-2) 1098 828 45 Iowa State (7-2) 1097 970 46 Illinois (6-3) 1090 982 47 Miami (OH) (5-4) 1088 954 48 Marshall (6-3) 1088 896 49 TCU (6-4) 1083 946 50 Virginia Tech (5-5) 1082 1080 51 North Carolina (5-4) 1082 970 52 Texas Tech (6-4) 1079 1018 53 Michigan (5-5) 1072 1121 54 California (5-4) 1072 901 55 Arkansas (5-4) 1071 980 56 Sam Houston (7-2) 1070 878 57 UConn (7-3) 1070 823 58 Boston College (5-4) 1068 991 59 Virginia (5-4) 1059 1002 60 Washington (5-5) 1054 1031 61 Houston (4-5) 1052 1031 62 Wisconsin (5-4) 1050 969 63 Colorado State (6-3) 1048 884 64 Ohio (6-3) 1045 828 65 Cincinnati (5-4) 1041 1032 66 Florida (4-5) 1034 1059 67 Nebraska (5-4) 1030 1013 68 Texas State (5-4) 1028 925 69 Toledo (6-3) 1018 878 70 Old Dominion (4-5) 1009 1001 71 USC (4-5) 1003 1059 72 East Carolina (5-4) 1003 862 73 Rutgers (5-4) 1001 954 74 Bowling Green (5-4) 998 886 75 Kansas (3-6) 993 1033 76 Liberty (6-2) 992 761 77 San José State (6-3) 990 809 78 Michigan State (4-5) 984 1056 79 Maryland (4-5) 978 1045 80 Oklahoma (5-5) 976 1083 81 NC State (5-5) 976 970 82 UCF (4-6) 975 1029 83 North Texas (5-4) 967 915 84 Wake Forest (4-5) 955 1016 85 Northern Illinois (5-4) 953 905 86 Northwestern (4-5) 948 992 87 Auburn (3-6) 948 978 88 South Alabama (4-5) 944 905 89 Buffalo (5-4) 941 884 90 Kentucky (3-6) 927 1104 91 Coastal Carolina (5-4) 921 926 92 Western Michigan (5-4) 920 882 93 Utah (4-5) 910 947 94 Arkansas State (5-4) 904 883 95 Hawai’i (4-6) 900 900 115 Troy (2-7) 776 895 116 UAB (2-7) 775 966 117 Stanford (2-7) 772 1064 118 Utah State (2-7) 771 919 119 Central Michigan (3-6) 768 884 120 Wyoming (2-7) 766 891 121 Air Force (2-7) 763 935 122 Nevada (3-8) 762 967 123 Tulsa (3-6) 759 841 124 Middle Tennessee (3-7) 735 933 125 Purdue (1-8) 725 1058 126 Akron (2-7) 725 979 127 Georgia State (2-7) 723 991 128 UTEP (2-8) 722 864 129 Florida Atlantic (2-7) 685 919 130 New Mexico State (2-7) 677 892 131 Southern Miss (1-8) 670 947 132 Massachusetts (2-7) 666 853 133 Kennesaw State (1-8) 633 908 134 Kent State (0-9) 560 980 Mine for the week, I feel like those last 5 spots I’m just trying to find half decent teams, even though the top several are obviously contenders
- Oregon
- Indiana
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Ohio State
- Army
- LSU
- BYU
- Ole Miss
- Notre Dame
- Georgia
- Penn State
- Miami (FL)
- Boise State
- South Carolina
- alabama
- Texas A&M
- SMU
- Washington State
- Vanderbilt
- Illinois
- Iowa State
- Louisville
- Kansas State
- Pittsburgh
Computer poll based on resume and margin of victory. I am as displeased by Alabama’s high ranking as you are.
- Oregon (1) | 10 - 0 | LW: 1 ( - )
- Ohio State (6.93) | 8 - 1 | LW: 2 ( - )
- Indiana (8.37) | 10 - 0 | LW: 4 (+1)
- Alabama (10.13) | 7 - 2 | LW: 7 (+3)
- Texas (12.13) | 8 - 1 | LW: 6 (+1)
- Notre Dame (13.04) | 8 - 1 | LW: 8 (+2)
- Penn State (13.06) | 8 - 1 | LW: 10 (+3)
- BYU (13.23) | 9 - 0 | LW: 5 (-3)
- SMU (17.35) | 8 - 1 | LW: 11 (+2)
- Miami (18.92) | 9 - 1 | LW: 3 (-7)
- Boise State (20.82) | 8 - 1 | LW: 12 (+1)
- Ole Miss (23.06) | 8 - 2 | LW: 17 (+5)
- Georgia (25.75) | 7 - 2 | LW: 9 (-4)
- Tennessee (26.06) | 8 - 1 | LW: 15 (+1)
- Texas A&M (27.8) | 7 - 2 | LW: 18 (+3)
- Army (28.83) | 9 - 0 | LW: 21 (+5)
- Clemson (29.28) | 7 - 2 | LW: 20 (+3)
- Washington State (29.7) | 8 - 1 | LW: 16 (-2)
- South Carolina (30.97) | 6 - 3 | LW: 24 (+5)
- Louisville (31.35) | 6 - 3 | LW: 22 (+2)
- Kansas State (32.3) | 7 - 2 | LW: 23 (+2)
- Colorado (32.72) | 7 - 2 | LW: 25 (+3)
- Pittsburgh (35.11) | 7 - 2 | LW: 14 (-9)
- Louisiana (35.55) | 8 - 1 | LW: 28 (+4)
- Iowa State (35.69) | 7 - 2 | LW: 13 (-12)
First five out:
- Missouri (35.93) | 7 - 2 | LW: 30 (+4)
- LSU (36.51) | 6 - 3 | LW: 19 (-8)
- Tulane (36.63) | 8 - 2 | LW: 26 (-2)
- UNLV (40.72) | 7 - 2 | LW: 31 (+2)
- Arizona State (42.56) | 7 - 2 | LW: 36 (+6)