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The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders
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Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah
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Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose
These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren’t bombing an imprisoned civilian population.
Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?
I think that was also surprising to Hamas. They may have just planned on holding a few soldiers so they can have leverage in negotiation, and expected a lot more resistance. Because well, wouldn’t you?
If I was about to paraglide into Israel, I would definitely assume I was going to become a martyr from an anti-air missile. It makes a lot of sense why some people think Israel let the incursion happen.